Projected Wallabies XV: Former NRL star Zac Lomax makes a strong case as Coach Schmidt faces a selection dilemma

The AFL and NRL seasons are just kicking off, but Super Rugby is approaching its climax. This also means the inaugural Nations Cup is on the horizon, along with the selection of Joe Schmidt’s final Wallabies squad before he passes the coaching baton to Les Kiss in August.

However, before Kiss takes charge, Schmidt is keen to end his two-and-a-half-year stint on a high note.

While World Rugby ranking points are less critical this year, as next year’s World Cup draw is already established, the Nations Cup represents an opportunity for Schmidt to secure valuable points while the Wallabies get ready to face Ireland, France, and Italy on home soil.

Schmidt’s legacy with the Wallabies is also at stake.

His achievements, including a victory over the Lions and the historic win in Johannesburg against the Springboks, are secure. Yet, by keeping the Wallabies undefeated throughout their home Tests in July, he could leave with a 50 per cent win-loss record. Presently, only Dave Rennie (36 per cent) holds a worse percentage than Schmidt’s 11 wins out of 28 (39 per cent) since the professionalism of rugby began in the mid-90s.

Schmidt, who adopted a more cautious approach as the Wallabies’ demanding 15-Test season in 2025 progressed, faces several significant selection dilemmas.

Injuries to Will Skelton, Tate McDermott, Carter Gordon, Tom Lynagh, Joseph-Aukuso Suaalii, and Tom Wright, sluggish starts to the season (like Nick Frost), and overseas players such as Angus Bell, Tom Hooper, Len Ikitau, and Taniela Tupou have left very few positions locked in with only 84 days until the Wallabies’ opening Test against Andy Farrell’s Irish team in Sydney.

In particular, the No.10 jersey is highly contestable. Gordon’s knee injury sustained in the match against the Crusaders complicates matters, especially as he has not yet assumed kicking responsibilities. Among this year’s playmakers, Brumbies’ Declan Meredith could be the surprising choice for a debut, but giving him a cap in the season opener would indeed be a bold move.

Schmidt might take a gamble with NRL recruit Zac Lomax, who made an impressive debut for the Force during their tight loss to the Drua last weekend.

As we reach the midpoint of the Super Rugby season, it’s time to forecast what Schmidt’s matchday 23 could potentially look like.

Prop: While James Slipper may have retired from international rugby, Schmidt has a variety of options. Angus Bell, who is currently enjoying a sabbatical in Ulster, is expected to return just in time, regardless of whether his Irish side secures a place in the final on July 20. If fit, he’s a certainty due to his impactful ball-carrying abilities. The remaining selection is uncertain; Tom Robertson and Aidan Ross were both involved in the match day squad last year, but at this point, Ross seems to hold a slight edge. Blake Schoupp is also a strong contender and could potentially leap ahead of both. Furthermore, Tom Lambert has gained more minutes playing as the Waratahs’ No.1 in Bell’s absence and is also making his case.

On the opposite side of the scrum, Allan Alaalatoa’s return last weekend would have pleased Schmidt. His long-time rival for the No.3 position, Taniela Tupou, hasn’t yet started for his new club Racing 92 in Paris but has delivered several match-winning performances coming off the bench. The identification of the third tight-head prop remains ambiguous; Zane Nonggorr has been in the Wallabies’ squad over the last three years, but limited appearances and unconvincing form make his selection questionable. Reds rookie Nick Bloomfield has recently started ahead of him, while Massimo De Lutiis needs game time before he becomes a serious contender. Rhys Van Nek’s injury has also arrived at an unfortunate time.

Hooker: With Dave Porecki retired last year and Matt Faessler struggling with injuries, Billy Pollard has solidified his status as Schmidt’s go-to hooker. Halfway through the season, the Brumbies’ hooker remains the best option off the bench. Faessler and Reds’ Josh Nasser both had chances with the Wallabies last year but have yet to find their rhythm this season, particularly at the lineout. Brandon Paenga-Amosa stood out in the Force’s close match against the Drua with his scrummaging. However, it’s Waratahs’ Ethan Dobbins who is making a strong case with impressive performances, including his throwing and work ethic. Currently, he outshines 2019 World Cup squad member Folau Fainga’a.

Lock: The season-ending injury to Will Skelton in France has shifted focus to the Wallabies’ locking options. Lukhan Salakaia-Loto is a suitable alternative, though he has not always been favoured by Schmidt. Still, his size brings him back into contention. Another important factor is Frost’s recent form; after being a Test regular since 2022, it took a month this year for Stephen Larkham to turn to him. While Frost had a knee concern early in the year, it’s thought that the strong performances of Cadeyrn Neville and Lachie Shaw have kept him out of action. We anticipate Frost will regain his form as the season progresses. In terms of rookies, Shaw could be a notable inclusion following his strong start. Force captain Jeremy Williams will also be in line for the squad, and the selection of the fourth lock may depend on Schmidt’s preference for a future star or a rugged veteran like Matt Philip.

Back-row: The back-row appears to be a strength for the Wallabies. Rob Valetini showcases world-class talent and has returned to form following an injury-stricken 2025. Fraser McReight, the Reds captain, tends to occupy the No.7, while Harry Wilson holds the No.8 position as the current skipper. Of the trio, Wilson’s spot is the most up for debate, primarily due to the emergence of Charlie Cale and the rise of Exeter’s Hooper. Although Carlo Tizzano is currently sidelined, his ability to win turnovers and staunch defence should secure his role as McReight’s backup. Pete Samu’s experience and flexibility further bolster his chances of retaining a position in the broader squad, while Force’s Nick Champion de Crespigny, who led Australia against Japan, continues to show impressive physicality. Reds’ Joe Brial is expected to come into contention once Kiss takes over, as is Seru Uru, who hasn’t performed as effectively in the second-row.

Halfback: With Tate McDermott yet to play a match since his hamstring injury against the All Blacks last September, it’s a contest between incumbent No.9 Jake Gordon and the Brumbies’ captain Ryan Lonergan. If Larkham were selecting, Lonergan would undoubtedly be his choice, as he resolves the Wallabies’ goal-kicking dilemma. However, Schmidt has consistently supported Gordon, and recent performances suggest he will lean toward him again in July, especially after Gordon outshone his rival in the Waratahs’ recent win against the Brumbies. When McDermott returns from injury, his speed and dynamic play should see him secure a spot on the bench. Other potential bolters include Force’s Henry Robertson, especially if one of the key three is injured. His status as the best defensive nine in Australian rugby informs this selection. Benetton-bound Louis Werchon might also come into consideration, albeit likely only if McDermott is unavailable.

Fly-half: Despite not yet kicking for goal of penalties, Carter Gordon is a certain inclusion if fit. Rugby Australia won’t shy away from the playmaker after bringing him back from the NRL. Schmidt hopes the 25-year-old will recover quickly from a suspected medial knee injury, which may pave the way for Tom Lynagh to reclaim the Reds No.10 position after his own injury troubles. Lynagh’s solid performance against the Lions and his reputation as a reliable kicker keep him firmly in contention. Ben Donaldson also remains in the running based on form, but whether Schmidt views it differently is another question. The Force playmaker went from being included in all three matchday squads against the Lions to being left out of the end-of-season tour. While Donaldson’s name has been put forth by many, he could be challenged by Brumbies’ Declan Meredith, who has outperformed Tane Edmed, a player Schmidt has nurtured since his arrival in Australian rugby.

James O’Connor, currently with Leicester Tigers, is unlikely to be called back immediately, nor is Japan-based Noah Lolesio.

Midfield: With Samu Kerevi currently unavailable and Angus Crichton continuing in the NRL, Schmidt will likely select Ikitau, who is set to return from injury at Exeter, for the No.12 role, although some believe his best position is further out. Despite Hunter Paisami’s impending move to Japan at the season’s end, Schmidt is likely to keep him in the running in the short term. This could open the door for Isaac Henry, while Suaalii is expected to retain the No.13 jersey, with Filipo Daugunu providing additional versatility. Might we see Jordan Petaia make a comeback? If he doesn’t feature in July, it wouldn’t be a shock if Kiss turns to him during The Rugby Championship.

Outside backs: Although the Wallabies achieved notable successes in 2025, Schmidt’s team has struggled to recover from Tom Wright’s season-ending injury last August in Cape Town. The Brumbies’ fullback could potentially return this weekend against the Drua, making him a favourite to reclaim his position. Max Jorgensen seems assured of a spot on the wing, while the other wing position remains a toss-up, with Dylan Pietsch and Daugunu currently leading Corey Toole, especially considering Jorgensen’s size. Furthermore, NRL recruit Lomax faces a race to be fit, yet his impressive debut against the Drua suggests Schmidt may consider him for selection as a development player, particularly given Harry Potter’s difficulties after joining the Waratahs.

Veteran Brumbies’ player Andy Muirhead deserves attention too—his versatility to play fullback enhances his candidacy, as does Northampton Saints’ signing James Ramm, who will strengthen the squad after joining the Force earlier this year. It might be too early for Waratahs rookie Sid Harvey.

Predicted Wallabies team for the season opener against Ireland on July 4 at Allianz Stadium.

Wallabies XV: Angus Bell, Billy Pollard, Allan Alaalatoa, Nick Frost, Jeremy Williams, Rob Valetini, Fraser McReight, Harry Wilson (c), Jake Gordon, Carter Gordon, Max Jorgensen, Len Ikitau, Joseph Aukso-Suaalii, Dylan Pietsch, Tom Wright.

Replacements: Matt Faessler, Blake Schoupp, Taniela Tupou, Lukhan Salakaia-Loto, Charlie Cale, Tate McDermott, Tom Lynagh, Filipo Daugunu.

Wider squad: Ethan Dobbins, Tom Robertson, Zane Nonggorr, Lachie Shaw, Tom Hooper, Carlo Tizzano, Ryan Lonergan, Declan Meredith, Hunter Paisami, Isaac Henry, Corey Toole, Zac Lomax.