The AFL and NRL have only just kicked off, but in Super Rugby, we’re closing in on the final stretch. As that unfolds, the Nations Cup approaches, setting the stage for Joe Schmidt’s last Wallabies squad prior to handing the coaching reins to Les Kiss in August.
Before Kiss takes the helm, Schmidt will be eager to conclude his two-and-a-half-year stint with the Wallabies on a positive note.
Although World Rugby ranking points may not be as critical this year due to the World Cup draw already being settled, valuable points will still be at stake in the inaugural Nations Cup where the Wallabies prepare to host Ireland, France, and Italy.
Schmidt’s legacy with the Wallabies hangs in the balance. While his victories, such as the Lions win and the historic triumph against the Springboks in Johannesburg, will never be forgotten, a 50 per cent win-loss record remains within reach if the Wallabies manage to go undefeated in their home Tests throughout July. Currently, only Dave Rennie has a poorer winning percentage than Schmidt’s record of 11 wins and 28 losses (39 per cent) since the professional era commenced in the mid-90s.
Joe Schmidt is expected to lean on his tried-and-true players for the Wallabies’ season opener against Ireland on July 4, 2026. Sportsfile via Getty Images
Schmidt, who grew more conservative during the Wallabies’ substantial 15-Test match season in 2025, faces several critical selection dilemmas.
Injuries to players like Will Skelton, Tate McDermott, Carter Gordon, Tom Lynagh, Joseph-Aukuso Suaalii, and Tom Wright, sluggish starts to the season for some (like Nick Frost), and overseas commitments from Angus Bell, Tom Hooper, Len Ikitau, and Taniela Tupou have left most positions up for grabs just 84 days ahead of the Wallabies’ first Test against Andy Farrell’s Irish squad in Sydney.
Particularly, the No.10 jersey is looking contested. Gordon’s knee injury from the victory over the Crusaders may complicate the situation further, especially since he hasn’t yet taken on kicking duties. Among the playmakers, Brumbies’ Declan Meredith could be a surprising contender for a debut, although it would be a bold choice to throw him straight into the opener.
Schmidt may be willing to take risks with NRL recruit Zac Lomax, who impressed on debut for the Force during their narrow loss to the Drua last weekend.
As we pass the halfway mark of the Super Rugby season, we’ve decided to predict what Schmidt’s matchday 23 could comprise of.
Prop: While James Slipper may have called curtains on his Wallabies career, Schmidt still has an array of options. Angus Bell, currently on a sabbatical at Ulster in the United Rugby Championship, is anticipated to return regardless of how his Irish club fares in the final on July 20. If fit, he’s a sure bet thanks to his crucial ball-carrying ability. Who partners him, however, is less certain. Tom Robertson and Aidan Ross both featured in the Wallabies’ matchday 23 last year, with Ross perhaps currently in front. Blake Schoupp could surpass both contenders, while Tom Lambert is also making a case after gaining more playing time in the Waratahs’ No.1 position in Bell’s absence.
As for the other side of the scrum, the return of Allan Alaalatoa last weekend would have delighted Schmidt. His rival for the No.3 shirt, Taniela Tupou, has yet to start for his new Parisian club Racing 92 but has had a couple of impactful performances off the bench. The choice for the third tight-head prop remains undecided. Zane Nonggorr has been a regular in the Wallabies’ squad over the last three years but has been sparingly used recently, and his form isn’t exactly saying ‘pick me’. Reds rookie Nick Bloomfield has even outperformed him in recent weeks. Massimo De Lutiis may have been re-signed by Rugby Australia, yet his inclusion hinges on getting time on the field. Meanwhile, Rhys Van Nek’s injury adds to the collection of woes.
Ethan Dobbins of the Waratahs during a turnover. Getty
Hooker: With Dave Porecki’s retirement last year and Matt Faessler suffering an injury-affected season, Billy Pollard emerged as Schmidt’s dependable hooker in 2026. Midway through the season, the Brumbies’ No.2 continues to impress. Faessler and Reds teammate Josh Nasser had stints with the Wallabies last year, but both have had slow starts in the current campaign and need to sharpen up, particularly in the lineout. Brandon Paenga-Amosa also shone during the Force’s narrow loss to the Drua, especially in the scrummaging department, but Waratahs’ Ethan Dobbins is making a compelling case for selection. The 25-year-old currently outshines 2019 World Cup member Folau Fainga’a with his improved throwing, robust work-rate, and ability for quick play.
Lock: The focus has quickly shifted to the locks of the Wallabies with Will Skelton’s season-ending injury in France. Lukhan Salakaia-Loto is the closest equivalent, but he hasn’t always been favoured by Schmidt. Nonetheless, his size should see him as a strong contender. Frost’s form, or lack thereof, is another question; a Test regular since his international debut in 2022, he took a month this year before making an appearance. While this was partly due to a knee problem, it is believed he was simply overshadowed by the strong performances of Cadeyrn Neville, Lachie Shaw, and Toby Macpherson. I expect Frost to regain form the deeper we into the season. Additionally, Shaw could be one of the few rookies in Schmidt’s squad after a stellar start, with Force captain Jeremy Williams also vying for a spot. The identity of the fourth lock could hinge upon whether Schmidt opts for youth or a more seasoned player like Matt Philip.
Nick Frost is expected to be a key figure for the Wallabies in 2026, despite a slow start to the year. Sportsfile via Getty Images
Back-row: If there’s a strength in the Wallabies, it’s undoubtedly their back-row. Rob Valetini is back to full form following his injury-affected campaign in 2025, while Fraser McReight consistently delivers as the regular No.7, and Harry Wilson holds the captaincy at No.8. That said, Wilson’s position is up for debate in light of Charlie Cale’s resurgence and the developing talent of Exeter’s Hooper. While Carlo Tizzano is currently sidelined, his on-ball strength and tenacity in defence hold him in good regard. Pete Samu’s versatility and experience could help him secure a spot in the wider squad. Additionally, Nick Champion de Crespigny, who captained Australia against Japan, showcases plenty of physicality. Expect Reds back-rower Joe Brial to enter the fray when Kiss arrives, alongside Seru Uru, who has not been as productive in the second-row.
Charlie Cale has made a significant return in 2026. Getty
Halfback: With McDermott yet to make his return following a season-ending hamstring injury against the All Blacks last September, current No.9 Jake Gordon is most likely going head-to-head with Brumbies’ captain Ryan Lonergan. Should Larkham take charge of selections, Lonergan would be his choice, solving the Wallabies’ goal-kicking dilemma. Yet, Schmidt has consistently supported Gordon, especially after the Waratahs veteran outperformed Lonergan during their recent match against the Brumbies. While McDermott could be sidelined for another month, his explosive pace will likely see him on the bench once fit. Beyond those three, the Force’s Henry Robertson could emerge as a surprise contender, especially if injuries strike the existing players. Plus, Benetton-bound Louis Werchon may also come into consideration, but probably only if McDermott misses out.
Ryan Lonergan has shown strong form this year. Getty
Fly-half: Even though Carter Gordon has yet to kick for goal or take sideline penalties, he’s a sure inclusion if fit, following Rugby Australia’s commitment to bringing him back from a brief NRL stint. Schmidt will be keen for the 25-year-old to recover swiftly, especially after his suspected medial knee injury. This injury could pave the way for Tom Lynagh to reclaim the No.10 jersey for the Reds after experiencing his own injury difficulties. Lynagh held his ground against the Lions and is also noted for his accurate kicking, which should keep him as a strong contender. On form, Ben Donaldson is similarly in the mix, but whether Schmidt views it the same way is uncertain. Donaldson’s trajectory shifted from featuring in all three matchday squads against the Lions to being omitted from the end-of-season tour. Meanwhile, Declan Meredith is making strides as Brumbies’ No.10 and may be ahead of both Tane Edmed, another of Schmidt’s initiatives since entering Australian rugby.
Veteran James O’Connor, who is currently with Leicester Tigers, is also unlikely to make an immediate return, nor is Japan-based Noah Lolesio.
Ben Donaldson has arguably established himself as Australia’s top No.10. However, where does he stand with Joe Schmidt? Getty
Midfield: With Samu Kerevi still unavailable and Angus Crichton busy with the NRL, Schmidt appears poised to continue with Ikitau, who is about to return from injury with Exeter. However, many believe his best role is one slot further out. Hunter Paisami may soon head to Japan, but Schmidt might still keep him engaged for the immediate future. This doesn’t rule out Isaac Henry from contention. Suaalii is expected to retain the No.13 jersey, providing flexibility alongside Filipo Daugunu. Jordan Petaia could re-enter the selection conversation, and it wouldn’t come as a surprise if he was called upon during The Rugby Championship if not in July.
Outside backs: Although the Wallabies showed promise last year, Schmidt’s team never truly recovered from Tom Wright’s season-ending injury in Cape Town last August. The Brumbies’ No.15 could very well make his return against the Drua this weekend. Consequently, Wright is the favourite to resume his role under Schmidt. Max Jorgensen is a solid lock for one wing position, while the other is wide open. Dylan Pietsch and Daugunu are likely ahead of Corey Toole, especially given Jorgensen’s not the tallest winger on the field. NRL recruit Lomax’s selection hinges on his development and performance, but following his captivating debut against the Drua, you can’t entirely discount Schmidt selecting him, particularly considering Harry Potter’s struggles since joining the Waratahs.
Zac Lomax has made an impressive start with the Western Force. Getty
Brumbies veteran Andy Muirhead should also be considered. His ability to cover fullback adds to his argument for selection. Similarly, Northampton Saints flyer James Ramm will enter the conversation after signing with the Force earlier this year. It may be a touch early for Waratahs rookie Sid Harvey.
Predicted Wallabies team for their season opener against Ireland on July 4 at Allianz Stadium:
Wallabies XV: Angus Bell, Billy Pollard, Allan Alaalatoa, Nick Frost, Jeremy Williams, Rob Valetini, Fraser McReight, Harry Wilson (c), Jake Gordon, Carter Gordon, Max Jorgensen, Len Ikitau, Joseph Aukso-Suaalii, Dylan Pietsch, Tom Wright
Replacements: Matt Faessler, Blake Schoupp, Taniela Tupou, Lukhan Salakaia-Loto, Charlie Cale, Tate McDermott, Tom Lynagh, Filipo Daugunu
Wider squad: Ethan Dobbins, Tom Robertson, Zane Nonggorr, Lachie Shaw, Tom Hooper, Carlo Tizzano, Ryan Lonergan, Declan Meredith, Hunter Paisami, Isaac Henry, Corey Toole, Zac Lomax
Compiled by SportArena.au.
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